cshare            0.682899
mshare            0.144225
trans_fromgood    0.961660
trans_frombad     0.205422
grad2             1.178127
grad3             1.223067
grad4             1.277100
Name: US, dtype: float64
cshare            0.003850
mshare            0.003530
trans_fromgood    0.001577
trans_frombad     0.009521
grad2             0.016650
grad3             0.016409
grad4             0.016231
Name: US, dtype: float64
                    mean        sd
cshare          0.682899  0.003850
mshare          0.144225  0.003530
trans_fromgood  0.961660  0.001577
trans_frombad   0.205422  0.009521
grad2           1.178127  0.016650
grad3           1.223067  0.016409
grad4           1.277100  0.016231
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.1053 True
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3974 True
psi 0.1616 True
delta_h1 -0.989 True
delta_h2 3.5117 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1 False
price 1 False
risk 0.0 False
-- 
number of parameters:  10
number of free parameters:  5
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.1053 True
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3974 True
psi 0.1616 True
delta_h1 -0.989 True
delta_h2 3.5117 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1 False
price 1 False
risk 0.0 False
- using these moments:
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.0038498188619336283
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.0035304301568975733
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.0015768678590229242
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.009520886903446983
grad2 1.1781272865329295 0.016649704287059433
grad3 1.2230665691714895 0.016409088465787112
grad4 1.2770998962196927 0.016230789791335097
f =  88.23076297178544 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6831997915074594
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1442672892742067
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701549982119845
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.26693883664318324
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1217712149764592
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1983364392396845
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2457841425923855
f =  101.1271537752403 , pars =  [ 2.20531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6776810678621168
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14423398826787331
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701608084811227
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.27313036627681664
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1204187513979005
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.196071565149314
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2410603625849705
f =  314.35875014041716 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.497405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6841463917837333
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14502350761149924
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701643928596461
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3464687235191092
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1050732305550661
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1617595264099436
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1846655224930727
f =  962.3610433420823 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.26157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6412288943072029
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.0939267684611752
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9702180179056263
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.41700717322245734
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0936579749781443
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.134199195160033
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1474319272726898
f =  63.06493557436681 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.88895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6896209462635539
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15080864872058064
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701548753741048
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2337865535500857
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1164340669010002
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1910528126792204
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2600598280785054
f =  124.91611520883806 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.61165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6739726827174669
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13242993083579388
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9729938629449492
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2591929858920651
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.116614383774025
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1900915600510498
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2337656095256346
f =  81.83828924641483 , pars =  [ 2.00531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6897681335681436
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1445173879126068
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701532256178299
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2617350397485333
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.123976635698988
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2024991243828307
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2514280571136047
f =  57.765223084464075 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.297405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6788224733570538
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13689482199520447
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701530824290524
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2296361153730966
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1573285113322391
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2670183449228116
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.323343349241378
f =  5900.253605541932 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.06157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.8581148109198399
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.34350869692277025
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701527824025321
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.09096637300648008
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1915672558058972
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.3627552546582837
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.6000408576156364
f =  83.15238506800179 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -1.08895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6857323346495461
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14694383190345403
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701550822869023
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.26555169508722265
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1235298833130367
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2102853550762955
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2556578908516414
f =  87.53366024523383 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.41165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6940857825045617
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15656477597114463
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9670193218324307
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.27077148707866333
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1318192553192339
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2163743278679218
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2681251517846195
f =  129.9372096899487 , pars =  [ 2.0996918   0.33561375  0.19850422 -0.98306826  3.50079533]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6653661881519596
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.12270994897828999
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9698302715762052
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.255344261263667
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.120223070789173
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.194700691535358
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.250770940066361
f =  83.96526658376037 , pars =  [ 2.11556629  0.25466981  0.16865243 -0.9998822   3.53163248]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6702050819824575
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.12835534396607073
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9707436594233403
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2226806760558596
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1534640312820785
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2640391884265139
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.322964593655195
f =  59.28717762625732 , pars =  [ 2.11769807  0.29861309  0.16190036 -0.98839107  3.51061188]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.675766110124613
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13601033688352
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701222223327922
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23499381646749107
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1537306421745994
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2592800162333813
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.313296688951047
f =  35.72075342895099 , pars =  [ 2.10140802  0.2975041   0.1677926  -0.97737624  3.49074724]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6827242775116602
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14252109307755906
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9695228649731519
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.21892021532099287
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1461947686762795
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.236100383464998
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3107557257935758
f =  47.665309726185505 , pars =  [ 2.10271102  0.32148719  0.1734011  -0.98116383  3.49226785]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6801180856400622
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13988296850161705
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9695694439863872
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23736653109655087
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.129006130292085
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2114444508864026
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2759058581473757
f =  35.916585137101706 , pars =  [ 2.10137258  0.29356144  0.16996691 -0.97452388  3.48228612]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6820466786579752
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14197372193553268
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9692639368651946
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2198881537661653
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1491142215398504
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.241784707802357
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3153664558160576
f =  64.73511521991259 , pars =  [ 2.10174663  0.29243944  0.16784367 -0.970137    3.495419  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6739889356666952
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13319486966724148
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969664855682561
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2448423994209019
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1488243091150783
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2456446796071663
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2983279969194672
f =  50.8517744467185 , pars =  [ 2.10167837  0.29892102  0.15797522 -0.97846441  3.49015221]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6824390779020113
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1415748632852278
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9695044961755858
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22796814146893724
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.159111668408474
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2701861111216324
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3293552060953724
f =  56.7229882691342 , pars =  [ 2.10114137  0.29321346  0.16590433 -0.98548672  3.48725812]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.676415877289245
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1355634689390321
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9694162642583253
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2336452661374334
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1561007771680105
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2634079744468627
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3203151400502129
f =  35.79925891072933 , pars =  [ 2.09218352  0.30110365  0.16716605 -0.97773938  3.49194196]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6819675315503184
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14252179984603233
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9695592437750608
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2209806438419397
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.139780083790089
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2280416179737623
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3019472266095757
f =  34.74436642680518 , pars =  [ 2.10262456  0.30261911  0.16721968 -0.9719403   3.48422966]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6846773673789297
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14419066892092802
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693235499004691
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22056091084502275
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1434432987560925
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2336317435460207
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3080079878707773
f =  50.266610923301315 , pars =  [ 2.10132533  0.30554224  0.17621363 -0.96977928  3.48628055]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6770457719420879
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13657971423709925
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693866057321038
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23507216190407806
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1281771666003453
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2108714392202795
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2778083373720273
f =  39.99181768836761 , pars =  [ 2.10408726  0.29544068  0.16604381 -0.97185689  3.47752585]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6835511129533164
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14400766697560982
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691172305797542
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.21526897125856082
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1552111068158917
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2555514533649368
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3302138617623864
f =  33.75298974535228 , pars =  [ 2.09809493  0.30442969  0.16897119 -0.96710573  3.47717534]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6830317786729379
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14285138427148325
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691065139731109
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22310928666793856
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1425282313851777
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.231845766879816
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.30515738408363
f =  35.38231999557847 , pars =  [ 2.08861406  0.30327762  0.1699339  -0.96878353  3.47492944]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.683434677669871
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14286332978461336
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9690369567737386
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23007935350992756
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1430446777828855
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2312692212377627
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2996411312218958
f =  33.93667715166412 , pars =  [ 2.09861902  0.31335818  0.16927026 -0.97148256  3.47630278]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6841291117520957
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14364918112902184
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9690795448417096
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2236704687505355
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.143787174215148
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2335608315111453
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.306715837443182
f =  35.22382196532002 , pars =  [ 2.09555386  0.30987984  0.16923911 -0.97240997  3.48314461]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6834923838400596
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14296884007671504
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9692903185580249
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22331691764096845
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1436901085463964
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.234805583708461
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3067327273485356
f =  35.24294613168319 , pars =  [ 2.09724201  0.30142073  0.1664272  -0.96073912  3.483749  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6831512513483646
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14338705983620895
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969308845325449
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2248719462846735
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1420478285215678
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2315604240660198
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.302833201816558
f =  35.15618240474529 , pars =  [ 2.09419678  0.29665767  0.16626076 -0.96629099  3.48122378]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6843059345122604
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14428828609010091
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9692311806037935
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2208261660847499
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1484716710084908
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2401579824843008
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3137219970271066
f =  34.5158677176754 , pars =  [ 2.09642072  0.30829139  0.16925258 -0.96454187  3.47638051]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.683749701435481
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14330964489477144
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969081890329117
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22333652871881143
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1449019442678878
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2369492238564073
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3095835798697322
f =  35.022900393573586 , pars =  [ 2.09841986  0.30453385  0.16782139 -0.96683215  3.47695359]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6829645109197616
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14341148315489688
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969099644748422
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22866985107589483
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1421104607875647
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.230134647837837
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2993552898585747
f =  35.624727465319815 , pars =  [ 2.09817655  0.3045135   0.17083032 -0.96798645  3.47575961]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6815076364957758
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14151278812389287
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9690627944547128
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22838038491085297
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1423045379153565
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2312082325719567
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3010189601555622
f =  33.946127360314115 , pars =  [ 2.09855329  0.30357147  0.16895035 -0.96731835  3.47708747]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6826477237891597
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14272759092756127
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691037947583695
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2240069284243671
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1423201170639905
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2314043000464672
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3041686540070754
f =  33.84791653695677 , pars =  [ 2.09807418  0.30447565  0.16923727 -0.96708111  3.47813765]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6831335871904343
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14282272752376007
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691361529309068
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22214958222357553
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1435071279737699
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2333217790188085
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3070472408551692
f =  34.020665918809556 , pars =  [ 2.09810806  0.30411129  0.16906518 -0.96616285  3.4771996 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.682749763871262
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1427239459441536
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691072518638779
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22347455326090648
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1428619554593489
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2324841220637037
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3057690232728891
f =  33.67967109578627 , pars =  [ 2.09718306  0.30413969  0.16890222 -0.96737955  3.47724362]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6832658306886202
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14302375878957976
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969108623130957
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2221876072554412
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1429604263938815
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.232753979530172
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.30671110093985
f =  34.419647925942506 , pars =  [ 2.09695453  0.3041392   0.16892048 -0.96686363  3.47641823]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6830665322116549
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14299103881908753
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969083108377151
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22604571618862174
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1428231078345537
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2323876611297675
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3033784014544896
f =  34.616179780613095 , pars =  [ 2.09693682  0.30470175  0.16899059 -0.96815681  3.47735096]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6840019492894179
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14341511430697332
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691118462493273
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22461135596803397
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1447488261128453
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2355806718010354
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3073931043093696
f =  33.96132816063416 , pars =  [ 2.09624151  0.30402515  0.16917772 -0.96745206  3.47710509]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6835683033297426
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14326646621369094
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691042566634746
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2202800185728948
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.144198743278373
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.235866982289042
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3110345276894517
f =  34.771467678945214 , pars =  [ 2.09693588  0.30345274  0.16876783 -0.96708809  3.47784693]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6832454680554958
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14291731531204077
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691272270628719
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22640361989416344
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1428612706204704
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2323278172362246
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3029535916799975
f =  34.3417703237475 , pars =  [ 2.0972572   0.30405795  0.16979446 -0.96765882  3.47690636]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6823006004133276
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.142091415399488
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9690982158267922
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22474156686286312
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1421469976259824
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2311096841485192
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3036265067685602
f =  34.63710014388837 , pars =  [ 2.09695434  0.30478274  0.16893748 -0.96670393  3.47752015]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6829798924529196
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1429505533034954
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691171601479919
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22578648724167866
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.143331689267686
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2332594181855012
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3043122298286542
f =  33.877180561347984 , pars =  [ 2.09709156  0.3038877   0.1687417  -0.96771276  3.47704032]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6833301499041364
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14309779488711893
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691023303474754
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22307528832449647
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.142994038217742
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.232773474699659
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3063333644558035
f =  34.76062211855091 , pars =  [ 2.09725866  0.30404259  0.1689208  -0.96737362  3.47725366]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.682999985039636
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14291553550759628
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691089239283386
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2263819035588887
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.142933228424406
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2326146290664672
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3035295101804518
f =  59.854098702811385 , pars =  [ 2.09712921  0.30429749  0.16872834 -0.96740695  3.47718266]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.676016095246083
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13511158906066487
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691067194407836
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24921922715948677
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1460001100812418
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2432232564964383
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2955788619092725
f =  34.42475465439802 , pars =  [ 2.09709219  0.30410413  0.16890972 -0.96735905  3.47724312]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6832695944566447
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1430712372449214
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691085988667864
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22531633812762197
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1432856705168983
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2332299071014359
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3045682605658635
f =  34.48878621124428 , pars =  [ 2.09718425  0.30415228  0.16899624 -0.96740607  3.47726084]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6832954854295745
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1430043186138112
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691091465147126
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22543364167693664
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1433267138504764
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2332917348495644
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3045713735725362
f =  60.23313273905525 , pars =  [ 2.09717887  0.30412118  0.16887947 -0.96739675  3.47733757]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6758629542057591
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1349722067887703
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691115073887335
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24922671993379986
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1459747043485056
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2431888522575327
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.295530003812879
f =  34.50555755554706 , pars =  [ 2.09719336  0.30414136  0.16893444 -0.96733571  3.47716037]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.683843728612053
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1435324827015151
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691059567236134
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22264671193542623
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1448680651583267
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.23704524053315
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3100365404409764
f =  33.78681213372594 , pars =  [ 2.09717788  0.30418508  0.16891213 -0.96729848  3.47727887]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6828897328034429
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14281382846189258
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691097051483952
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2232716718550406
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1422568779300384
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2314373685426738
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3046833972831484
f =  34.838156813870896 , pars =  [ 2.0972247   0.30416902  0.16893608 -0.96744337  3.47719687]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6829827485814098
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14284200163107147
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691071709285469
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22690026397212643
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1426899488808318
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2320244146862964
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3025560085761527
f =  34.873274797113254 , pars =  [ 2.09727386  0.30417495  0.16890282 -0.9673569   3.47724315]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6828428678221258
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14282620222384187
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969108600463692
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22701957725004152
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1425811881503174
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2318332772369553
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3023028775596839
f =  34.560467924431066 , pars =  [ 2.09722472  0.30407818  0.16889506 -0.96732881  3.47720056]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.683834928293394
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14343722331439335
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.96910719631369
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22454575293201004
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1447799200712703
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2356541277516897
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3075073682785827
f =  34.06833919500154 , pars =  [ 2.09715804  0.30419858  0.16882871 -0.96738897  3.47722327]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6841864974839201
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14359264495673743
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691078946141497
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.21939729180076564
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1447147502051862
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2368446982587975
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3123850476005177
f =  34.01345455928794 , pars =  [ 2.09712395  0.30420906  0.16892567 -0.96736155  3.477215  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6828056217045259
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14278566665175266
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691077325135496
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2238018542132855
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1424511343544281
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2317914102425056
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.3049078398054637
estimation did converge, now computing standard errors...
          $\sigma$    $\phi$ $\alpha_0$
estimate  2.097183   0.30414   0.168902
se        0.010304  0.135992   0.019482
             value   free        se
name                               
sigma     2.097183   True  0.010304
beta      0.970000  False       NaN
phi       0.304140   True  0.135992
psi       0.168902   True  0.019482
delta_h1 -0.967380   True  0.160692
delta_h2  3.487244   True  0.051008
eta       0.000000  False       NaN
tfp       1.000000  False       NaN
price     1.000000  False       NaN
risk      0.000000  False       NaN
